US Market Week Ahead: Nvidia’s Earnings and July PCE to Shape Market Amid September Rate Cut Expectations

August 26, 2024

As retail investors look ahead to the US market, all eyes are on Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), the chipmaking giant that has driven this year’s impressive stock market rally. Investors are eagerly anticipating Nvidia’s earnings report to see if the company can continue its extraordinary run, especially after its recent gains.

Nvidia’s performance this year has been remarkable, with its stock soaring over 150% year-to-date. Our research is looking for another strong quarter from Nvidia, as recent commentary from hyperscale customers and results from supply chain partners point to continued strength in AI infrastructure builds. (Read more in Nvidia Corporation | CGSI – Raymond James | Aug 20, 2024)

However, Nvidia isn’t the only company under the microscope this week. Major players like Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM), BHP Group Ltd (NYSE:BHP), Dell Technologies Inc (NYSE:DELL), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), Autodesk Inc (NASDAQ:ADSK), and Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) are also set to release their earnings, providing insights into various sectors.

As earnings reports roll in, investors are also closely watching key economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next move. The advance estimate showed the US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.8% in the second quarter (Q2), a significant acceleration from first quarter’s (Q1) 1.4% growth and well above initial forecasts. This week will bring the second estimate of the Q2 GDP growth rate.

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, rose by 0.2% in June, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6%. This week, the July figures will be published. Markets are already pricing in a rate cut at the September meeting, with most expecting a 25-basis point reduction. However, there’s still debate about whether a more substantial 50-basis point cut might be necessary. July’s personal income and spending data will provide additional clues. In June, personal income rose by 0.2%, while spending increased by 0.3%.

Other key data to watch include July’s Durable Goods Orders, whereby consensus forecast suggests a 4% improvement, following a 6.6% month-on-month slump in June, also the Conference Board Consumer Confidence for August.

In summary, Nvidia’s results could either reinforce the market’s bullish sentiment or introduce a new wave of caution if the company fails to meet the high expectations set by its recent performance. Meanwhile, the Fed’s potential rate cut looms large, with investors looking for any signs of how aggressive the central bank might be in easing policy.

Disclaimer: ProsperUs Manager of Content Hailey Chung doesn’t own shares of any mentioned companies.

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Hailey Chung

As a lifelong learner, Hailey strives to simplify finance for everyday investors, making it relatable and enjoyable. She desires to support investors with various background, whether they are grappling with limited time and resources in seeking financial freedom or are sincere in stewarding their money well as a token of gratitude for God's provision. With a focus on responsible investing, Hailey balances caution and opportunity, believing life's too short to stress over market fluctuations. Beyond the pursuit of profits, she advocates for investments aligned with building a better world. As Manager of Content at ProsperUs, she leverages her journalism background from The Edge Malaysia, where she honed her skills at the capital and corporate desk.

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